RJG wrote:Although one must inhale a minimum of 1000 viral particles before an infection can occur, but nonetheless, it does not matter how many viral particles/mosquitos are in the room. It is just simple math/statistics. If you add one more person to the room, it reduces the risk in half (doubles her safety!).
GE Morton wrote:That is incorrect. If there are more than 2000 virus particles in the room the woman's odds with another person in the room are the same.
GE, this is not right. The individual risk (or odds of infection) proportionally
decrease as the number of people sharing this risk
increase. The basic Risk Assessment Equation (to calculate individual risk) is:
Total Risk divided by the
Number of People sharing that risk =
Individual Risk.
GE Morton wrote:If there are 120,000 particles in the room her odds are the same if 120 people are in the room…
Not so. In this scenario...
P1. If alone in the room, then her odds of getting infected are
12,000:1 odds*.
P2. If 120 people are in the room, then her odds of getting infected are
100:1 odds**.
C1. Therefore, she is
significantly safer (
120X !!) with people in the room (sharing the same environment).
C2. And therefore, if we were to UNMASK these 120 people (with the lady being masked), (thereby disproportionately sharing the total viral load), then her safety would then further improve at least 10 fold, well over
1000X safer !!!
C3. And therefore, now imagine, that if we remove (socially distance) these 120 unmasked people, ...she is now 1000X more likely to die.
* 12,000 groups of 1,000 particles, divided by 1 person = 12,000:1 odds.
** 12,000 groups of 1,000 particles, divided by 120 people = 100:1 odds.
*************************
So hopefully, now you can see the
DEADLY effects of "masking and social distancing" our healthy immune (and vaccinated) population. Continuing with masking and social distancing of our healthy population only digs a deeper hole; allows more infections (and deaths), allowing the virus to perpetuate unabated; continually mutating into potentially more contagious and deadly variants. Vaccinations, by themselves, will not help. They are totally useless; ineffective if we keep allowing the virus to mutate (we can't develop new vaccines/boosters at a faster rate that we are allowing the new variants).
"1 step forward, 2 steps back" only puts us in a deeper hole (further back).